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SUMMARY:Closing the Year in the Gray Zone: What to Watch Heading into 2027
DESCRIPTION:As 2026 draws to a close\, join ERI’s analysts and leadership team for the final quarterly update of our Strategic Intelligence Estimate 2026: Business in the Gray Zone – and a first look at the risks shaping 2027. \nIn January\, we forecast a year in which states and non-state actors would increasingly operate in the space between peace and war\, using proxies\, sabotage\, economic coercion\, regulation and technology to pursue their aims. Much of that held: trade and export controls were wielded as instruments of state power\, AI-enabled threats accelerated faster than expected\, and companies found themselves both targets and tools of geopolitical competition. But 2026 also changed course. Open state-on-state conflict\, from the US-Iran confrontation to the continuing war in Ukraine\, played a bigger role than our gray zone framing anticipated\, and frontier AI forced even permissive regulators to rethink their approach. \nThis session takes a brief\, candid look at what the year revealed before turning to what matters most now: the risks and indicators organizations should be watching through the final weeks of 2026 and into 2027. It comes at a pivotal moment\, just after Brazil’s presidential runoff and days before the US midterm elections\, as the US-China trade truce approaches its renewal point and as companies finalize 2027 budgets and plans. \nOur experts will cover three watchlists: conflict\, coercion and political risk; economic warfare and corporate exposure across trade\, finance\, supply chains and regulation; and technology and AI as gray zone enablers. Expect forward-looking analysis\, real-time insights\, and an opportunity to engage directly with our experts ahead of the launch of Strategic Intelligence Estimate 2027 in mid-November.
URL:https://emergentriskinternational.com/event/q4-webinar-closing-the-year-gray-zone/
LOCATION:Online
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