OUR DATA PORTAL

Tag: Russia

Russian Intrigue and the Tragedy of Internet Group Think

“A straight-line prediction is usually a confession of ignorance.” This line from a dear friend and co-designer of ERI’s foundational Corporate Intelligence Analysis, Tradecraft and Writing course, Ben Brandt, has been ringing in my head in the weeks since Yevgheny Prigozhin’s failed march on Moscow.   Observing a mass of media and pundit groupthink  – especially on Twitter and LinkedIn – Ben’s warning is particularly relevant. News stories, Twitter threads and risk assessments from other intelligence providers all begin and end on a...

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Press Release: EVERGREEN PODCASTS, EMERGENT RISK INTERNATIONAL TEAM UP FOR NEW SERIES ON “DISINFORMATION”

CLEVELAND, September 15, 2022 (Newswire.com) – Evergreen Podcasts, an emerging growth podcast production and distribution company, and Emergent Risk International, a Dallas-based risk advisory firm, are proud to announce a new podcast, Disinformation, a deep dive into one of the most important issues of our time. It will be hosted by veteran Washington journalist Paul Brandus. The show launches Thursday, September 15th.“Disinformation plays a role in nearly every aspect of our lives today, undermining trust in institutions and accelerating...

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What Happens if Europe Actually Sanctions Russian Gas?

Germany/EU/ Russia: German Defense Minister Christine Lambrecht said that Europe needed to consider banning gas imports from Russia following graphic evidence of atrocities committed by Russian forces in Ukraine.Why it Matters: Sanctioning Russian gas supplies would disrupt European manufacturing capacity as well as driving even higher inflation that could last months – if not years. The economic impact would further set back European economic recovery from COVID-19, with ripple effects to other economies in the US, Middle East and Africa. Last week, as talks broke...

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Chances of Regime Change in Russia

Russia: Regime change remains a low likelihood/high impact scenario in Russia, despite the toll sanctions are taking on the economy, the detention of thousands of Russian protesters and the $1 million bounty on President Vladimir Putin. Why it Matters:Sanctions will have a major impact, but don’t expect a full collapse of the Russian economy. The tendency when thinking about major blows to an economy like that which we are seeing in Russia is to expect a full economic collapse; something that brings down the government and leads to whole of society upheaval on par with...

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