Tag: SIE 2026

As 2026 draws to a close, join ERI’s analysts and leadership team for the final quarterly update of our Strategic Intelligence Estimate 2026: Business in the Gray Zone – and a first look at the risks shaping 2027. In January, we forecast a year in which states and non-state actors would increasingly operate in the space between peace and war, using proxies, sabotage, economic coercion, regulation and technology to pursue their aims. Much of that held: trade and export controls were wielded as instruments of state power, AI-enabled threats accelerated faster than expected, and companies...

Six months into 2026, the gray zone has generated hard evidence about how power, conflict, and technology are reshaping the business risk environment. Join ERI’s analysis teams for an interactive Q3 Update webinar on the Strategic Intelligence Estimate 2026: Business in the Gray Zone.  We examine what US behavior in Iran and Venezuela reveals about coercion and negotiation as tools of statecraft, and what that means for companies operating in or adjacent to markets exposed to US foreign policy. The session draws on the Iran conflict for concrete lessons about what drone threats, data center...

As we move deeper into 2026, how are gray zone tactics evolving – and where are businesses most exposed?  Join ERI’s leadership and analysis teams for an interactive Q2 Update webinar on the Strategic Intelligence Estimate 2026: Business in the Gray Zone.  Expect forward-looking analysis, real-time insights, and an opportunity to engage directly with our experts. Your registration also provides access to the SIE 2026 report.

Emergent Risk International is hosting a webinar launching the widely anticipated Strategic Intelligence Estimate 2026: Business in the Gray Zone. The gray zone is the space between peace and war. It is where states and non-state actors use covert, coercive, and ambiguous tactics to shape global outcomes and increasingly, to target businesses. Our senior intelligence team will outline the key global challenges and business risks shaping the year ahead. You will also have the chance to put your questions to the panel, live.   Register now, and you’ll also get special preview access to...